FX Risk Modeller Guide

The FX Risk Modeller helps you understand how currency movements will affect your margins. If you price products in GBP but pay suppliers in USD or EUR, a currency shift can wipe out your margin without a single business decision changing. This tool makes that risk visible and quantifiable.

Go to /tools → FX Risk Modeller. If you're on the Growth or Business plan with Shopify or Amazon connected, your products will be pre-loaded. On Free or without a connected source, enter products manually.

1. Select your currency pair (e.g. GBP/USD)

2. Enter (or confirm) your current exchange rate

3. Set your depreciation scenarios — three levels are shown by default:

• Mild (-5%)
• Moderate (-10%)
• Severe (-20%)

4. Select which products to model (or run across all)

5. Click Run Scenario

Results show each product's margin under each scenario, flagging those that go negative (loss-making at that exchange rate).

The output table shows:

• Current margin — your margin at today's rate
• Mild scenario margin — margin if currency depreciates 5%
• Moderate scenario margin — margin at -10%
• Severe scenario margin — margin at -20%
• Break-even rate — the exchange rate at which this product becomes unprofitable
• Exposure value — total revenue at risk if the severe scenario occurs

Products are colour-coded: green (healthy margin in all scenarios), amber (at risk in severe), red (loss-making in moderate or severe).

From the results, you can:

• Reprice — AskBiz suggests the new price needed to maintain your target margin at the moderate scenario rate
• Hedge alert — set a rate alert so AskBiz notifies you when GBP/USD crosses a threshold
• Ask AskBiz — ask *'Which products should I reprice first given the current USD risk?'* for a prioritised recommendation